CENTURION INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS OFFICIALLY MOVED TO A GRAND NEW BUILDING THIS MAY
Saturday, May, 2017
Brisbane CBD Market Actually Undersupplied
Saturday, May, 2017
Consolidated Properties Executive Chairman
Don O’Rorke said market pundits have got it wrong, and the Brisbane CBD has a
significant apartment undersupply.
He said his point of view was recently
supported by the latest Urbis research, which showed that only 1812 units are
under construction in the CBD across four projects. In 2017, only 666 units
will complete, with 810 units completing in 2018, and 336 in 2019.
Urbis said the majority of the units have
been presold with no further developments scheduled to complete until the
Queen’s Wharf Casino project finishes its first stage in 2021/2022.
“The essential difference between this
Urbis report and other market indicators is that this report focuses on the
buildings that are currently under construction,” Mr O’Rorke said.
“There is simply no point in tracking
mooted projects because we know that virtually none of them will proceed, due
to the constraints in current funding.
“The only certain fact is that the four
buildings under construction in the Brisbane CBD will be the only additions to
the existing market stock in the coming years and 1812 apartments, by any
measure is a small number,” he said.
“With the majority of those apartments
already pre sold, there is clearly an excess of market demand for new product.”
The four projects currently under
construction in the Brisbane CBD are:
Abian – by Sunland Group, in Alice Street,
150 apartments finishing in Q2 2017
Spire – by Consolidated Properties, at 550
Queen Street, 340 apartments finishing in Q3 2017
Sky Tower – by Billbergia, at 222 Margaret
Street, with 1,138 apartments progressively completing over two years to 2019,
and 176 of those apartments will finish from Q2 2017.
Mary Lane – by Sam Chong, at 111 Mary
Street, 184 apartments finishing in Q2 2018.
“Brisbane is very much a fragmented market
and a buyer or tenant who wants to be in the CBD does not want to be in The
Valley, Newstead or South Brisbane – all of which have substantially more stock
completing in 2017 and 2018,” Mr O’Rorke said.
The Urbis report shows the Northern Market
(Fortitude Valley and Newstead) has 3,879 apartments finishing in 2017 and
2018, while the Southern Market (West End and South Brisbane) has 3403
apartments completing in that same two year period. The CBD contains only 10%
of the new apartments scheduled for completion.
Urbis’ current tenancy report shows a
vacancy rate of only 2.3%, which clearly indicates the supply is being fully
absorbed by the rental market. However this doesn’t show the scarcity of medium
to long term tenancy availability.
The CBD location has a large component of
short term rental availability which is unique to this particular market and
belies the pent up demand for longer term tenancies.
The Brisbane CBD is a supply led market,
with spikes in sales whenever product becomes available. This, combined with
the scarcity of development locations, as well as further demand being driven
by population growth and jobs, reinforces the trend towards strong future
demand for CBD apartments for sale and rent.
The latest Brisbane Inner City population
growth figures show an increase of 1.8%. While white collar jobs continued to
grow in Brisbane in the last quarter of 2016, according to Property Council of
Australia research.
Mr O’Rorke said that the Brisbane market
had cooled following APRA’s move to constrain local banks’ lending practices,
but that the very low level of supply in the CBD would virtually underwrite the
value of the four projects currently under construction.
“The market will be crying out for new
product in 2019. We certainly don’t see any oversupply issues in the CBD,” he
said.
Source: theurbandeveloper.com
